← 2. Bundesliga 2004-05 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Erfurt win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1532.68 | 1431.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.29 | -16.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| league points | 36.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.79 | -0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |