← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Duisburg win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1517.65 | 1492.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.90 | -14.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 43.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.42 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |