← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Duisburg win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Cottbus win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Duisburg | Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1478.04 | 1516.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.85 | -4.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 41.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.67 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |