← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Fri, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lubeck win | 41% | 2.25 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lubeck | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1439.39 | 1553.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.26 | -23.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 37.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |