← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Bielefeld win | 35% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 9338.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1534.16 | 1573.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.08 | 60.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| league points | 42.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.76 |
| state index | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |