← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Fri, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Duisburg win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1177.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1541.65 | 1490.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.28 | 14.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |