← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cottbus win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 22% | 4.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cottbus | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1521.39 | 1557.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.60 | -20.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 46.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.96 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.50 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |