← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Mon, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Lubeck win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lubeck | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1442.57 | 1540.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.37 | 41.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.60 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| state index | -1.20 | 0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |