← 2. Bundesliga 2003-04 · Fri, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Aachen win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Lubeck win | 23% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Aachen | Lubeck |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1491.26 | 1453.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.67 | -46.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 35.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.26 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.91 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |