← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Sun, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 71% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Lubeck win | 11% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Lubeck |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 836.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1585.02 | 1477.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.63 | 7.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 56.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.28 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |