← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Fri, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Ahlen win | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Ahlen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1496.18 | 1407.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.16 | -21.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.12 | -1.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |