← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Sun, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| Aachen win | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Aachen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1484.40 | 1474.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.57 | -31.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 34.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.50 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |