← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lubeck win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Aachen win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lubeck | Aachen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1454.94 | 1510.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.08 | 13.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 31.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 15.96 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.62 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |