← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Fri, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 win | 55% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Burghausen win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Burghausen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 792.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1600.31 | 1494.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.73 | -2.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 10.96 | 11.96 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |