← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Fri, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ahlen win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Duisburg win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ahlen | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1429.96 | 1480.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.42 | -30.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.33 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |