← 2. Bundesliga 2002-03 · Sun, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Aachen win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Duisburg win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Aachen | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1497.80 | 1503.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.39 | -26.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |