← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Sevilla B win | 18% | 5.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Sevilla B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 309.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1428.10 | 1328.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.25 | 13.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 54.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | — |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.00 |
| squad age | 26.27 | — |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |