← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 38% | 39% | 2.50 | fair |
| Draw | 36% | 29% | 2.70 | fair |
| Cordoba win | 26% | 32% | 3.69 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 149.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1431.88 | 1484.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.81 | 31.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.52 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |