← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 43% | 53% | 2.29 | value: +22% |
| Ath Bilbao B win | 32% | 20% | 3.09 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.78 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Ath Bilbao B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1185.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1346.44 | 1356.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.41 | -29.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 0.72 |
| state index | -0.91 | -1.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |