← Segunda División 2015-16 · Thu, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 39% | 39% | 2.48 | fair |
| Leganes win | 30% | 30% | 3.22 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.22 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1941.00 | 1090.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1460.00 | 1537.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.60 | -2.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 59.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.67 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |