← Segunda División 2015-16 · Thu, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 37% | 38% | 2.63 | fair |
| Zaragoza win | 33% | 32% | 2.92 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.31 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 177.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1451.96 | 1519.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.47 | 5.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 48.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |