← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 52% | 48% | 1.88 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | 3.80 | value: +11% |
| Llagostera win | 22% | 23% | 4.35 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Llagostera |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1466.32 | 1435.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.36 | 14.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 51.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |