← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 58% | 59% | 1.68 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.77 | fair |
| Huesca win | 16% | 15% | 5.99 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1085.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1552.09 | 1437.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.85 | 10.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 65.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.18 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |