← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sat, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 49% | 52% | 1.99 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.53 | fair |
| Mirandes win | 23% | 21% | 4.17 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1929.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1457.91 | 1482.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.18 | -15.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 56.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |