← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 51% | 56% | 1.90 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | 3.62 | fair |
| Cordoba win | 22% | 20% | 4.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1916.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1465.05 | 1453.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.33 | -5.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 53.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |