← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 38% | 43% | 2.56 | value: +9% |
| Albacete win | 32% | 29% | 3.05 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1149.00 | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1366.75 | 1564.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.74 | 19.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 32.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |