← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 52% | 53% | 1.87 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.52 | fair |
| Albacete win | 20% | 20% | 4.87 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 168.00 | 1143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1489.74 | 1372.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.72 | 13.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |