← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 46% | 39% | 2.14 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 33% | 3.20 | value: +4% |
| Elche CF win | 24% | 28% | 4.08 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 345.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1459.83 | 1526.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.57 | 14.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |