← Segunda División 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 50% | 59% | 1.94 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | 3.46 | fair |
| Albacete win | 22% | 18% | 4.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 284.00 | 1136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1450.60 | 1357.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.95 | -11.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.91 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |