← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, Jun 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 41% | 23% | 2.40 | fair |
| Albacete win | 31% | 48% | 3.14 | value: +52% ⚠ |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.45 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 828.00 | 828.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1429.51 | 1407.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.59 | 5.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 51.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |