← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 65% | 38% | 1.51 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 28% | 4.66 | value: +31% |
| Mallorca win | 14% | 34% | 6.88 | value: +131% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 529.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1434.15 | 1594.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.18 | 37.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 48.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.95 |
| state index | -0.47 | 1.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |