← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona B win | 41% | 40% | 2.36 | fair |
| Leganes win | 33% | 31% | 2.94 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | 3.81 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barcelona B | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1460.00 | 729.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1389.82 | 1459.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.73 | -18.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 36.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |