← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 41% | 32% | 2.40 | fair |
| Valladolid win | 31% | 38% | 3.16 | value: +19% |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.44 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1094.00 | 364.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1456.12 | 1553.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.38 | 5.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| league points | 53.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.73 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |