← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 61% | 47% | 1.60 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.88 | fair |
| Mallorca win | 14% | 27% | 7.12 | value: +90% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 814.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1413.85 | 1448.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.44 | 20.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 47.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.23 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |