← Segunda División 2014-15 · Wed, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 56% | 55% | 1.75 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.69 | fair |
| Mirandes win | 18% | 18% | 5.51 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 200.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1511.17 | 1418.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.48 | -5.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 57.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |