← Segunda División 2014-15 · Wed, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 42% | 41% | 2.35 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.33 | fair |
| Girona win | 29% | 31% | 3.34 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1083.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1488.93 | 1572.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.54 | 34.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 53.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.89 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |