← Segunda División 2014-15 · Tue, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 46% | 44% | 2.13 | fair |
| Barcelona B win | 29% | 29% | 3.42 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.81 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barcelona B | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1448.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1405.26 | 1563.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.24 | 11.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| league points | 36.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.74 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |