← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sat, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 45% | 38% | 2.16 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.35 | fair |
| Deportivo Alavés win | 26% | 33% | 3.79 | value: +25% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 806.00 | 1079.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1408.67 | 1479.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.71 | -6.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.35 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |