← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 35% | 39% | 2.76 | value: +8% |
| Tenerife win | 34% | 27% | 2.91 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 34% | 3.15 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 800.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1401.38 | 1428.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.66 | -16.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 35.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.87 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |