← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 41% | 51% | 2.39 | value: +21% |
| Mallorca win | 31% | 22% | 3.17 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Real Betis Balompié |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 282.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1431.71 | 1621.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.91 | 27.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| state index | -0.58 | 1.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |