← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 61% | 45% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | 4.35 | value: +10% |
| Barcelona B win | 17% | 30% | 5.80 | value: +74% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Barcelona B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 793.00 | 1432.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1409.57 | 1411.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.54 | 3.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 41.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.94 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |