← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 50% | 67% | 1.96 | value: +31% ⚠ |
| Draw | 28% | 22% | 3.43 | fair |
| CA Osasuna win | 22% | 11% | 4.46 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 500.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1556.78 | 1411.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.02 | -0.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 65.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.03 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.67 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |