← Segunda División 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 45% | 35% | 2.16 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.35 | fair |
| Albacete win | 26% | 35% | 3.79 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 298.00 | 785.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1403.06 | 1418.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.07 | 30.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 33.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| state index | -1.34 | -0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |