← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murcia win | 41% | 26% | 2.39 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | 3.29 | fair |
| Tenerife win | 30% | 47% | 3.29 | value: +55% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 699.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1457.32 | 1495.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.78 | 5.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 54.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.48 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |