← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 51% | 54% | 1.92 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | 3.10 | fair |
| Jaen win | 18% | 17% | 5.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Jaen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 484.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1558.71 | 1429.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.87 | 18.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 66.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.20 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |