← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sun, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 42% | 58% | 2.33 | value: +35% ⚠ |
| Mallorca win | 30% | 19% | 3.26 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | 3.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 158.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1467.64 | 1443.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.74 | -40.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 44.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |