← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, May 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 56% | 49% | 1.74 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.71 | fair |
| Cordoba win | 18% | 24% | 5.55 | value: +33% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 685.00 | 1051.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1477.70 | 1473.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.70 | 24.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 54.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.39 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |