← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 45% | 48% | 2.18 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | 3.42 | fair |
| Real Madrid B win | 27% | 29% | 3.64 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Real Madrid B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 143.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1478.83 | 1478.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.19 | -29.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 43.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |