← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaen win | 37% | 38% | 2.67 | fair |
| Tenerife win | 33% | 32% | 2.96 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.21 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Jaen | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 665.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1410.77 | 1509.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.51 | 50.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| league points | 40.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.54 |
| state index | -0.96 | 0.74 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |