← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 46% | 52% | 2.14 | value: +11% |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
| Mirandes win | 26% | 20% | 3.80 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1030.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1474.32 | 1459.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.52 | -4.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| league points | 49.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |